China's risk in thinking about conquering Taiwan

Fairly risk averse gov. Potential of losing is quite deterrent.

Not much war experience, even to take on the Taiwanese.

US and Japan are close. India and US are closer than before, increasingly seen as an ally. Aukus and Quad alliances. China increasingly isolated. What diplomatic options?

Xi's foreign policy is not considered a success over the past 10 years.

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